Rothenberg: GOP Set To Pick Up At Least 7 Senate Seats   1 comment

Sure, Mr. Rothenberg…and water is dry, the sun rises in the west and Bush-Cheney never lied us into war, huh?

“While the current Rothenberg Political Report ratings don’t show it, I am now expecting a substantial Republican Senate wave in November, with a net gain of at least seven seats. But I wouldn’t be shocked by a larger gain.”

“I’ve witnessed 17 general elections from my perch in D.C., including eight midterms, and I sometimes develop a sense of where the cycle is going before survey data lead me there. Since my expectations constitute little more than an informed guess, I generally keep them to myself. This year is different. I am sharing them with you.”(Political Wire)

If there’s one thing I’ve learned over the years, its’ that every election – even in so-called ‘wave elections’ – have their own dynamics and from where I’m sitting, I just don’t see whatever ole’ Stu’s seeing. If, as he says, the GOP looks to pick up at least 7 Senate seats, they should be running away in a bunch of states…but they’re not. With the exception of Kentucky – which looks to be slowing edging away towards Mitch McConnell atm – every major state of note looks to be right down the wire, with no clear wave in either direction.

Put simply, at present, there is no wave and Stu Rothenberg is smokin’ some funny tobacco to say what he did in the quote above.


One response to “Rothenberg: GOP Set To Pick Up At Least 7 Senate Seats

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  1. Obama beat McCain and Romney but just tiny percentages in a dozen states. Just a couple of points of anti Obama could tilt toward republican victory. But if they win I think most people will remain just as disappointed with what they’ll get.

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